Air Force
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 94.8980Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 15- 3 214 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 3- 4 215 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 12- 6 216 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 8-11 222 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 2- 4 224 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 5-10 227 A Dallas Baptist 11-15 301 A Dallas Baptist 15-16 306 H Dallas Baptist 0- 5 308 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 1- 6 421 A Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 11-12 514 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 4- 8 515 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 9- 6 516 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 1- 8 521 H UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 17- 2 522 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 1- 5 523 H New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 11- 1 523 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 8-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Penn State 15- 3 12 3 +++ 9.49
214 H Iowa 3- 4 -1 0 -0.74
215 A UConn 12- 6 6 0 +++ 6.13
216 H Kansas State 8-11 -3 -1 -1.96
222 A South Carolina 2- 4 -2 0 -1.67
224 A UAB 5-10 -5 -1 -- -4.35
308 A Baylor 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.50
421 A Richmond 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.40
514 H Utah 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.77
515 H BYU 9- 6 3 1 + 2.18
516 A Oregon State 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -4.95
521 H UNLV 17- 2 15 4 +++ 10.11
522 A Washington State 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.21
523 H New Mexico 11- 1 10 2 +++ 7.92
523 A San Diego State 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A UAB 5-10 -5 -1 -- -4.35 308 A Baylor 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.50 421 A Richmond 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.40 514 H Utah 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.77 516 A Oregon State 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -4.95 522 A Washington State 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.21 523 A San Diego State 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Penn State 15- 3 12 3 +++ 9.49 215 A UConn 12- 6 6 0 +++ 6.13 521 H UNLV 17- 2 15 4 +++ 10.11 523 H New Mexico 11- 1 10 2 +++ 7.92 515 H BYU 9- 6 3 1 + 2.18 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 15- 3 -8.19 10.24 0.68 1.93 42.09
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 3- 4 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 1.93 -4.57
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 12- 6 -5.54 12.88 0.68 1.93 52.28
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 8-11 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 1.93 -3.82
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 2- 4 -5.35 13.08 0.68 1.93 -4.51
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 5-10 -5.02 13.40 0.68 1.93 -4.19
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 1- 6 -5.18 13.25 0.68 1.93 -4.34
3 A Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 11-12 -9.07 9.35 0.68 1.93 -8.10
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 4- 8 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 1.93 -5.56
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 9- 6 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 1.93 48.59
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 1- 8 -3.62 14.80 0.68 1.93 -2.84
3 H UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 17- 2 -8.21 10.21 -0.68 1.93 36.77
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 1- 5 -5.89 12.53 0.68 1.93 -5.03
3 H New Mexico ( 5- 5, 93.5) 11- 1 -6.41 12.02 -0.68 1.93 43.74
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 8-11 -6.97 11.46 0.68 1.93 -6.07
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174.45
|
winning pts = 223.4682 losing points = -49.0202
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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